1H17 results in line with expectations
Shanghai Maling announced its 1H17 results: revenue+85.1% YoY to Rmb12.18bn and net profit attributable toshareholders +37.4% YoY to Rmb279mn or Rmb0.3/share. 2Qrevenue/net profit attributable to shareholders grew95.3%/25.7%. The company will provide a cash dividend ofRmb0.90 (including tax) for every ten shares.
Trends to watch
Silver Fern Farms performed well in 1H17 recordingrevenue/net profit of Rmb6.61bn/160mn; in 2Q, these werea respective Rmb3.8bn/110mn, better than expected.
Guanshengyuan, Lianhao and canned food businesssaw decent growth.
Decline of breeding business is controllable,mid/downstream business saw significantlyimproved profits. As the company is engaged in fullindustrial chain operation, fluctuations in profit can be offsetamid a hog price downturn; the overall profit won’t declinenotably compared with 2016.
Earnings forecast
We raise our 2017 EPS forecast by 5% from Rmb0.47 toRmb0.50, and lower that of 2018e by 13% fromRmb0.60 to Rmb0.52.
Valuation and recommendation
The stock is trading at 20x/19x 2017/18e P/E. We maintainour BUY rating and Rmb12.22 target price, implying23.43% upside room from the current price.
Risks
Changes in regulatory policy; fluctuations in raw material prices.